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Game Theory: How Mathematics Helps Address the Climate Crisis and Diplomacy
本站:原文:
bó yì lùn博弈论shìyī zhǒng一种yòngshù xué数学yán jiū研究hé zuò合作jìng zhēng竞争defāng fǎ方法

Game theory is a mathematical way to study cooperation and competition.

kě yǐ可以bāng zhù帮助rén men人们chǔ lǐ处理hěnduōxiàn shí现实wèn tí问题bǐ rú比如qì hòu biàn huà气候变化gōng gòng wèi shēng公共卫生yú yè渔业guǎn lǐ管理guó jì国际tán pàn谈判

It can help people deal with many real-world problems, such as climate change, public health, fisheries management, and international negotiations.

yǐ qián以前debó yì lùn博弈论cháng cháng常常jiǎ shè假设měi gè每个réndōuhuìzuò chū做出zuìlǐ xìng理性dexuǎn zé选择dànxiàn shí现实zhōngrén men人们guó jiā国家huìxué xí学习mó fǎng模仿huìmàn màn慢慢gǎi biàn改变zuò fǎ做法

Traditional game theory often assumes that everyone makes the most rational choice, but in reality, people and countries learn, imitate others, and gradually change their behavior.

jìn huà进化bó yì lùn博弈论jiù shì就是yán jiū研究zhè xiē这些biàn huà变化zěn yàng怎样yǐng xiǎng影响jié guǒ结果

Evolutionary game theory studies how these changes affect the outcome.

bǐ rú比如zàigōng hǎi公海bǔ yú捕鱼shírú guǒ如果yí gè一个guó jiā国家xiānzuò chū做出yì diǎn diǎn一点点kàn qǐ lái看起来méiwèn tí问题degǎi biàn改变bié de别的guó jiā国家kě néng可能huìgēn zhe跟着zuò

For example, when fishing on the high seas, if one country makes a small change that seems harmless, other countries may follow.

kāi shǐ开始shíyǐng xiǎng影响dànshí jiān时间zhǎngledà jiā大家kě néng可能dōutàiduōzuì hòu最后ràngyuè lái yuè越来越shǎopò huài破坏hǎi yáng海洋shēng tài生态

At first the effect is small, but over time everyone may catch too many fish, leaving fewer and fewer fish and damaging the marine ecosystem.

suǒ yǐ所以hǎocè lüè策略zhǐ yào只要fángmíng xiǎn明显dewèn tí问题yàofángzhè zhǒng这种màn màn慢慢chū xiàn出现defēng xiǎn风险

So a good strategy should not only prevent obvious problems, but also guard against risks that appear slowly over time.

zhè yàng这样deyán jiū研究kě yǐ可以bāng zhù帮助zhèng cè政策zhì dìng zhě制定者shè jì设计gèngwěn tuǒ稳妥deguī zé规则néngbāng zhù帮助gè guó各国zàiqì hòu气候wēi jī危机wài jiāo外交jīng jì经济hé zuò合作zhōngzhǎo dào找到gènghǎodebàn fǎ办法

This kind of research can help policymakers design safer rules, and it can also help countries find better ways to cooperate on the climate crisis, diplomacy, and economic cooperation.

By Aradhana Narang / 360info|CC BY 4.0|Modified & AI-assisted

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