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Game Theory: How Mathematics Helps Address the Climate Crisis and Diplomacy
本站: 原文:
HSK 等级高亮 · Highlight by HSK Level
bó yì lùn博弈论shì是yī zhǒng一种yòng用shù xué数学yán jiū研究hé zuò合作hé和jìng zhēng竞争de的fāng fǎ方法。

Game theory is a mathematical way to study cooperation and competition.

tā它kě yǐ可以bāng zhù帮助rén men人们chǔ lǐ处理hěn很duō多xiàn shí现实wèn tí问题,bǐ rú比如qì hòu biàn huà气候变化、gōng gòng wèi shēng公共卫生、yú yè渔业guǎn lǐ管理hé和guó jì国际tán pàn谈判。

It can help people deal with many real-world problems, such as climate change, public health, fisheries management, and international negotiations.

yǐ qián以前de的bó yì lùn博弈论cháng cháng常常jiǎ shè假设měi gè每个rén人dōu都huì会zuò chū做出zuì最lǐ xìng理性de的xuǎn zé选择,dàn但xiàn shí现实zhōng中,rén men人们hé和guó jiā国家huì会xué xí学习、mó fǎng模仿,yě也huì会màn màn慢慢gǎi biàn改变zuò fǎ做法。

Traditional game theory often assumes that everyone makes the most rational choice, but in reality, people and countries learn, imitate others, and gradually change their behavior.

jìn huà进化bó yì lùn博弈论jiù shì就是yán jiū研究zhè xiē这些biàn huà变化zěn yàng怎样yǐng xiǎng影响jié guǒ结果。

Evolutionary game theory studies how these changes affect the outcome.

bǐ rú比如zài在gōng hǎi公海bǔ yú捕鱼shí时,rú guǒ如果yí gè一个guó jiā国家xiān先zuò chū做出yì diǎn diǎn一点点kàn qǐ lái看起来méi没wèn tí问题de的gǎi biàn改变,bié de别的guó jiā国家kě néng可能yě也huì会gēn zhe跟着zuò做。

For example, when fishing on the high seas, if one country makes a small change that seems harmless, other countries may follow.

kāi shǐ开始shí时yǐng xiǎng影响bù不dà大,dàn但shí jiān时间zhǎng长le了,dà jiā大家kě néng可能dōu都bǔ捕tài太duō多yú鱼,zuì hòu最后ràng让yú鱼yuè lái yuè越来越shǎo少,pò huài破坏hǎi yáng海洋shēng tài生态。

At first the effect is small, but over time everyone may catch too many fish, leaving fewer and fewer fish and damaging the marine ecosystem.

suǒ yǐ所以,hǎo好cè lüè策略bù不zhǐ yào只要fáng防míng xiǎn明显de的wèn tí问题,yě也yào要fáng防zhè zhǒng这种màn màn慢慢chū xiàn出现de的fēng xiǎn风险。

So a good strategy should not only prevent obvious problems, but also guard against risks that appear slowly over time.

zhè yàng这样de的yán jiū研究kě yǐ可以bāng zhù帮助zhèng cè政策zhì dìng zhě制定者shè jì设计gèng更wěn tuǒ稳妥de的guī zé规则,yě也néng能bāng zhù帮助gè guó各国zài在qì hòu气候wēi jī危机、wài jiāo外交hé和jīng jì经济hé zuò合作zhōng中zhǎo dào找到gèng更hǎo好de的bàn fǎ办法。

This kind of research can help policymakers design safer rules, and it can also help countries find better ways to cooperate on the climate crisis, diplomacy, and economic cooperation.

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By Aradhana Narang / 360info|CC BY 4.0|Modified & AI-assisted

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